Analysis of Prognostic Factors and Establishment of a Nomogram to Predict Risk for COVID-19 Convalescent Patients Based on Metabolomic and Lipidomic (preprint)

Ethnopharmacological relevance: Qimai Feiluoping Mixture (QM) is a traditional Chinese herbal formulation that has demonstrated efficacy in improving both clinical symptoms and radiological indications of pulmonary fibrosis in patients convalescing from Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19).Aim of the study: To analyze factors associated with the prognosis of COVID-19 patients. It seeks to develop and validate a nomogram based on metabolomic and lipidomic for predicting improvements in lung imaging in COVID-19 patients. Additionally, the study evaluates the clinical application value of this nomogram.Methods and materials: A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of COVID-19 recovery patients from January 2020 to April 2022. Non-targeted metabolomic and lipidomic plasma analysis of the patients were performed using LC-MS and normal phase (NP)-HPLC coupled with mass spectrometry. Patients were divided into training and validation sets in a 7:3 ratio based on their omics data. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify independent risk factors associated with the recovery of lung imaging. Based on these factors, a nomogram prediction model was developed. The efficacy of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration curves. In addition, decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to assess the performance of the predictive model in clinical applications.Results The use of QM was found to be associated with the recovery of lung imaging in COVID-19 patients (P < 0.05). Among the 75 metabolites detected in the metabolomic test and 32 lipids identified in the lipidomic test, Pro Ser Ser Val, PC36:1(18:0_18:1), and BMP36:3(18:2_18:1) were utilized for constructing the predictive model. The model demonstrated good discriminative ability, with an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.821 (95% CI: 0.718–0.924) in the training set and 0.808 (95% CI: 0.627–0.989) in the validation set. The calibration curves indicated good agreement between predicted probabilities and actual probabilities in both the training and validation sets. Finally, the DCA curve suggested that the model has good clinical utility.Conclusion The utilization of QM may beneficially influence the recovery of lung imaging in patients with COVID-19. A straightforward nomogram, developed based on metabolomic and lipidomic, could be a valuable tool for clinicians to predict the likelihood of lung imaging recovery in COVID-19 patients.

Effectiveness of Xiangsha Liujun pills on decreased digestive function in convalescent patients of coronavirus disease 2019: a randomized, double blind, placebo controlled clinical trial.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectiveness and safety of Xiangsha Liujun pills on the decreased digestive function in patients in the recovery phase of the Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHODS: A randomized, double blind, placebo controlled clinical trial was conducted. A total of 200 COVID-19 patients in the recovery phase were included in our study in Ezhou Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine. Totally 200 subjects were randomly divided into a treatment group (Xiangsha Liujun pills) and a control group (placebo), with 100 in each group. Subjects took Xiangsha Liujun pills or placebo orally three times a day for two weeks. Three visits were scheduled at week 0 (baseline), week 1 (the middle of the intervention) and week 2 (the end of the intervention) for each eligible patient. The total efficacy rates for improving the Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) symptoms (fatigue, poor appetite, abdominal distension and loose stools) and the disappearance rates of symptoms were observed and compared in the treatment and control groups. Adverse events were recorded during the study period. SAS 9.4 was used to analyze the data. RESULTS: A total of 200 patients were included in this study, among which 4 participants withdrew because the drugs did not work. Three patients were excluded for age. Before the treatment, there was no significant difference between the TCM symptoms scores of subjects. After 1 week of treatment, the full analysis set (FAS) showed that the efficacy rates for abdominal distension and loose stools in the treatment group were significantly higher than the control group ( 0.05). There were no significant differences in the efficacy rates for fatigue and poor appetite between the two groups (0.05). In addition, the disappearance rate of fatigue in the treatment group was significantly higher than the control group (0.05); there were no significant differences between the two groups after treatment in the rates of poor appetite, abdominal distension, and loose stools (>0.05). After 2 weeks of treatment, the efficacy rates for fatigue, poor appetite, abdominal distension, and loose stools in the treatment group were significantly higher than the control group (0.05). The disappearance rate of loose stools in the treatment group was significantly higher than the control group ( 0.05). However, there were no significant differences in the disappearance rates of fatigue, poor appetite, and abdominal distension between the two groups ( 0.05). No severe adverse events were reported by subjects during the study. CONCLUSIONS: This clinical study confirmed that Xiangsha Liujun pills can effectively improve the symptoms related to the decreased digestive function in COVID-19 convalescent patients.

Effectiveness of Xiaoyao capsule on sleep disorders and mood disturbance in patients in recovery from coronavirus disease 2019: a randomized controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: To study the efficacy of Xiaoyao capsule in improving the clinical symptoms of sleep and mood disorders during recovery from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHODS: The study cohort comprised 200 patients with sleep and mood disorders during recovery from COVID-19. Patients were randomized into the control group and the experimental group in a 1:1 ratio by blocked randomization. The patients received either Xiaoyao capsule (experimental group) or a placebo Xiaoyao capsule (control group) for 2 weeks. The improvements in the Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) syndrome scales, total effective rates, and disappearance rates of irritability, anxiety, and poor sleep were compared between the two groups. RESULTS: The TCM syndrome pattern scales, total effective rates, and disappearance rates of irritability, anxiety, and poor sleep did not significantly differ between the experimental group versus the control group in the full analysis set and the per protocol set after 1 and 2 weeks of treatment ( > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Xiaoyao capsule do not significantly improve the clinical symptoms of sleep and mood disorders in patients in recovery from COVID-19.

Ludangshen Oral Liquid for Treatment of Convalescent COVID-19 Patients: A Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Multicenter Trial (preprint)

Objective To explore the effect of Ludangshen Oral Liquid for treatment of convalescent patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) with randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled multicenter method.Methods200 convalescent COVID-19 patients who had symptoms related to decreased digestive and respiratory function were randomly divided to either receive Ludangshen Oral Liquid or placebo for 2 weeks. The severity of clinical symptoms including fatigue, anorexia, abdominal distension, loose stools, and shortness of breath were assessed by visual analogue scale and observed at before and after treatment. The improvement and resolution rates of clinical symptoms were evaluated. Full analysis set (FAS) and per-protocol set (PPS) were used for statistical analyses. Adverse events were recorded during the study. Results8 patients did not complete the study. After 2 weeks of treatment, both FAS and PPS results showed that patients in Ludangshen group had significantly lower score of fatigue, anorexia, loose stools, and shortness of breath than placebo group (P < 0.05), while there was no significant difference in distention (P > 0.05). The improvement rate of fatigue, anorexia, distension, loose stools and shortness of breath were significantly higher in Ludangshen group (P < 0.05), as well as the resolution rates (P < 0.05) except for shortness of breath (P > 0.05). There were two cases of adverse events, with one nose bleeding in Ludangshen group and one headache in placebo group. ConclusionThe study suggested that two weeks of Ludangshen Oral Liquid treatment may have certain effects for convalescent COVID-19 patients on improving digestive and respiratory symptoms including fatigue, anorexia, loose stools and shortness of breath, which may be one of the choices for management of convalescent COVID-19 patients with digestive and respiratory symptoms.

Add-On Semi-Individualized Chinese Medicine for Coronavirus Disease 2019 (ACCORD): A Retrospective Cohort Study of Hospital Registries (preprint)

Background: Previous studies showed that the effect of antivirals for COVID-19 was promising but varied across patient population, and was modest among severe cases. Chinese Medicine (CM) was extensively used and reported effective in China, awaiting further evidence support. We aimed to evaluate the real-world effectiveness of add-on semi-individualized.Methods: A retrospective total sampling cohort of 1788 adult confirmed COVID-19 patients were recruited from all 2235 consecutive records retrieved from 5 hospitals in Wuhan during15 January to 13 March 2020. Consultation notes, laboratory/imaging investigations, pharmacy and prognosis records were linked by an electronic medical record system and verified by at least 2 researchers independently. The mortality of add-on semi-individualized CM users and non-users was compared by weighted hazard ratios of multivariable Cox regression and by propensity score matching. Change of biomarkers was compared between groups and the frequency of CMs used was analysed. Subgroup analysis was performed to stratify disease severity and dose of CM exposure. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to test the robustness.Findings: The crude mortality was 3.8% in the semi-individualized CM user group and 17.0% among the non-users. Add-on CM was associated with a significant mortality reduction of 58% (HR=0.42, 95%CI: 0.23 to 0.77, p=0.005) and 66% (HR=0.34, 95%CI: 0.15 to 0.76, p=0.009) among all and severe/critical COVID-19 cases with dose-dependent response, after inversely weighted with propensity score calculated by age, gender, history of hypertension, diabetes, coronary artery disease and disease severity. The result was robust in various stratified, weighted, matched, adjusted and sensitivity analyses. Severe/critical patients received add-on CM had a trend of stabilized D-dimer level after 3-7 days of admission compared to baseline.Interpretation: Add-on semi-individualized CM was associated with reduced mortality demonstrating dose-dependent response, especially among severe/critical COVID-19 patients. Chinese medicine could be considered as an add-on regimen for trial use.Funding Statement: This work is partially supported by the National Key Research and Development Program (2017YFC1703506 and 2020YFC0841600). Declaration of Interests: No financial relationships with any organisations that might have an interest in the submitted work in the previous three years; no other relationships or activities that could appear to have influenced the submitted work.Ethics Approval Statement: This study was approved by the ethics review board of Hubei Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine (HBZY2020-C01-01). Written consent was waived due to the retrospective nature.